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Topic: VotingResearch
September 2012
While the 2008 Democratic National Convention represented an historic occasion for African Americans and black politics when, for the first time, an African American was the Democratic Party’s nominee for President, 2012 represents a somewhat different but still momentous historic occasion--a black President, Barack Obama, seeking re-election.
The presidential election on November 6,...
November 2010
This publication is a brief review of some of the available evidence on what transpired on November 2, 2010, when the Democrats lost their majority in the U.S. House of Representatives and at least 19 state legislative chambers, maintained control in the U.S. Senate, and lost several important gubernatorial elections. The black vote was critical to the outcome of some closely contested elections...
October 2010
There is widespread agreement that the Democrats are poised to lose a significant number of congressional seats in the 2010 midterm elections. This is largely due to high unemployment and a poor economy. The extent of the Democrats’ losses will depend on their ability to turn out their most loyal voters, and no voting bloc will be more important than African Americans. If they can mobilize a...
News
November 2012
In 2011, as Illinois politicians redrew congressional district maps, they exercised a power grab that was intended to protect those already in office or even gain more seats for Democrats.
Officials split some of the state's growing Latino population between districts already represented by Democrats and those where they hoped to see Republicans lose. An incumbent Democrat like former...
November 2012
When black voters gave President Barack Obama 93 percent support on Election Day in defiance of predictions that they might sit it out this year, black leaders breathed a collective sigh of relief.
That encouraged those leaders to try to leverage more attention from both Obama and Congress. Although they waver over how much to demand from the president — particularly in light of defeated...
November 2012
President Obama won a second term last week, but it wasn’t a great week for other African-American candidates.
Despite Obama’s big win, there remain no black senators, only one African-American was even nominated for major statewide office, and black candidates lost seven of eight competitive House races — six of them by very close margins.
The end result: the number of...
November 2012
Despite efforts in some states to suppress the Black vote and predictions that African-Americans would not turn out at the rate they did in 2008, Blacks overcame all obstacles and were key to Obama’s re-election to a second term, an analysis of voting data shows.
Exit polls show that 93 percent of Blacks voted for Obama this year, down slightly from the 95 percent rate in 2008. But...
November 2012
In Bibb County, Ala., on Tuesday, a Democrat named Walter Sansing was in a race for county commissioner against a Republican named Charles Beasley, who was on the ballot despite the inconvenience of having died several weeks earlier. Mr. Beasley won.
That is what kind of Election Day it was in the South. Elsewhere Republicans may be wailing and gnashing teeth, but in the mid- and Deep South...
November 2012
In the days immediately following the presidential election, Martin Mendez was in a blue funk.
A Latino Republican, he watched with dismay as poll after poll revealed that not only did President Barack Obama win a second term in office, but he did so with a sizable portion of the Hispanic vote.
The loss was especially painful for Mendez, who spent hours knocking on the doors of Hispanics...
November 2012
Maybe it's just math, but it may also be a great political accomplishment.
President Obama has put together a coalition that's not only been a winner for him, but promises to pay dividends to his party for years to come.
A mix of minorities, young people and educated white professionals has now driven him to two majority-vote presidential victories — the first Democrat to pull...
Archived Research
April 1, 2007
The AARP and the Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies conducted a survey in South Carolina among 700 African-American likely voters in April of 2007. The purpose of the survey was to understand the concerns African-Americans in South Carolina want to see addressed by candidates for the respective Democratic and Republican political party nominations. Available in PDF Format...
April 1, 2007
AARP and the Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies conducted a survey in South Carolina among 700 African-American likely voters in April of 2007. The purpose of the survey was to understand the top domestic concerns African-Americans in South Carolina want to see addressed by candidates for the respective Democratic and Republican political party nominations. Only Available in...
January 1, 2005
On November 2, 2004, the black vote was critical to the outcome of a number of closely contested elections. What follows is a brief review of turnout and election results from November 2, 2004, based on the available evidence. It focuses on the behavior and significance of African American voters in the elections; and the changing numbers and profile of black candidates for federal office as well...
July 1, 2004
This booklet discusses the range of participation by African Americans in the Republican Party, the geographic and partisan dimensions of the black vote in recent years, and black voters' attitudes toward many issues that may be significant in the fall campaign. Detailed statistical tables, and the companion roster of the 2004 national convention's black delegates, alternates, and committee...
July 1, 2004
According to a broad consensus among political experts, the 2004 presidential election would be decided in a handful of states, namely, those where the vote tallies in November 2000 for George W. Bush and Al Gore were separated by five percentage points or less. Several of these swing states had significant voting blocs of African Americans: Michigan, Florida, Missouri, Ohio, Pennsylvania, North...
January 1, 2001
On November 7, 2000, the black vote was critical to the outcome of a number of closely contested elections. What follows is a brief review of some of the available evidence on this subject. In particular, this review focuses on the significance of African American voters' ballot behavior in the elections. It also examines the changing numbers and profile of black candidates for both federal and...
July 1, 2000
The analysis by senior research associate David A. Bositis examines the impact African Americans are likely to have in the November elections, with special attention to black trends in partisanship, public opinion, and voting behavior. The volume also includes listings of black Democratic elected officials and black delegates and alternates to the 2000 convention in Los Angeles.
July 1, 2000
The analysis by senior research associate David Bositis examines the impact African Americans are likely to have in the November elections, with special attention to black trends in partisanship, public opinion, and voting behavior. The volume also includes listings of black Republican elected officials and black delegates and alternatives to the 2000 convention in Philadelphia.
January 1, 1999
This is a brief review of some of the available evidence on what transpired on November 3, 1998, when the black vote was critical to the outcome of a number of closely contested elections. This review focuses on two aspects of the election: (1) the behavior and significance of African American voters in the 1998 midterm elections; and (2) the changing numbers and profile of black candidates for...
July 1, 1996
There were several interesting developments in black politics in November 1996, the two most significant of which are the large increase in the black male vote and the election of four African-Americans to the U.S. House from majority white districts. Overall black turnout appears to be up from 1992, and African-Americans again were primarily Democratic in their partisanship on November 5....
