In the wake of Arizona's strict new immigration law, which grants police broad powers to check people's legal status, Hispanics nationwide are fired up. Thousands of protesters converged at the Arizona capitol in Phoenix to denounce the measure in April. Rallies on May 1 drew tens of thousands more into the streets of 70 cities across the country. Earlier this week, student activists staged a sit-in at Sen. John McCain's Tucson office to condemn his support of the law. City leaders (not all of them Latino) from San Diego to St. Paul, Minn., declared boycotts against Arizona.Does this mean Hispanics are poised to storm the ballot boxes this November? Not necessarily. In a poll taken prior to the passage of the Arizona law, a survey by Latino Decisions found Hispanic political engagement "at an all-time low," according to Gary Segura, a member of the polling firm. Only 49 percent of Hispanic registered voters were very enthusiastic about voting in the coming November elections, compared with 89 percent in September 2006, during the last midterm cycle. (A February survey of four states by the Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies, on the other hand, showed that between 74 and 80 percent of African-Americans said they were very likely to vote in November.)
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...If Tea Party supporters are doing relatively fine, what are they so riled up about? These studies suggest that, at least in part, it's race. The country that the Tea Partiers grew up in is irrevocably changing. Last month, new demographic data showed that minority births are on the verge of outpacing white births. By 2050, Hispanics are expected to account for more than a quarter of the American population. The Tea Partiers "feel a loss … like their status has been diminished," says David Bositis of the Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies, which examines issues of race. "If you listen to [their] language, it's always about 'taking our country back.' But it's really not taking the country back as is. It's taking the country back"—as in time.
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